Brazilians from the south and the more affluent areas these days are being shown on TV and the printed press daily images that for many might seem from a faraway land. Images of people hijacking food trucks, looting supermarkets, and attacking government food warehouses. And there are scenes of whole families in line, despair in their faces, trying to get a little food basket from the government in order to survive a few more days. One of these nights the prime-time newscasts showed a peasant preparing a large lizard to feed his family while another man, beaming, displayed the meal for the day that he had just captured.

The images are from the Brazilian Northeast—a region twice the size of Texas, taking 18% of the national territory—that is home to 45 million Brazilians. Here, the huge gap between the wealthy and the poorest is more evident than anywhere else in the country. According to a recently-released United Nations study, 46% of the northeastern population lives under the line of poverty compared with 20% in the richer south. The area, known for it cyclic lack of rain, is suffering its worst drought in 15 years, with no end in sight.

In Rome, FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization), an agency from the United Nations, has also sounded the alarm saying that 10 million people in the Northeast were threatened by hunger, adding that the production of cereals in the area this year would only be 4.5 million tons, half of the usual output. FAO's report noted that in some areas this reduction was up to 90%.

As in the recent case of the Roraima fires, the country's worst ecological disaster that Brazilians can remember, the severe drought shows how ill prepared is Brazil for any catastrophe. Both, the ravaging fires in the Amazon and the severe drought stretching across the eight northeastern states and threatening with hunger 10 million people, were blamed on the El Niño weather phenomenon. Once again the government showed that months of warning were not enough to make the state machine work.

Even though the government had reports since October forecasting a severe drought, not before mid-May—and only after much looting and stories of desperation reported in the media—the Nordestinos received the first emergency food packages known as cesta básica (basic basket). By mid-May, 117 municipalities in the state of Bahia had declared state of emergency. About the same period, a report by the Baiano government revealed that 257 of its 415 municipalities had been affected by the lack of rain. Close to 400,000 people who risked starvation were suffering directly the consequences of the severe dry spell. According to governmental agency Sudene (Superintendência do Desenvolvimento do Nordeste—Northeast Development Superintendency), 70% of the Northeast's municipalities were in a critical situation by the end of April.

As stated by Bahia's Fetag (Federação dos Trabalhadores na Agricultura—Agriculture Workers Federation), at least 550,000 people were left jobless in the state due to the drought. In Irecê, for example, a city 300 miles from Salvador, the bean crop, which was expected to wield 200,000 tons, was wiped out by the lack of rain. The drought also killed all the corn, papaya and cotton planted in the area. In response to the situation, Agriculture minister, Francisco Turra, promised the distribution of 800,000 cestas básicas per month.

Tales
of Woe

Newspapers are filled with stories of despair and misery like the one from Everaldo João dos Santos, 45, his wife Conceição, 33, and daughter Joana D'Arc, 3, who walked for 25 days from Maceió, capital of Alagoas state, to São Paulo—1524 miles, roughly the distance between New York and Dallas—,fleeing starvation, as reported by daily Folha de São Paulo, on May 7.

In their cross-country odyssey they begged for food on roadside restaurants, slept just four hours or so at night, in the open, and walked most of the time. They were received at the Associação de Voluntários para Integração do Migrante (Association of Voluntaries for Migrant Integration) where they had their first meal after 24 hours without any food. The prospects weren't very encouraging though. Said dos Santos: "For now we are here in this shelter, but I don't know what's going to happen next. We might have to go on the streets."

Everaldo told Folha that he and his wife planted lettuce, potato and onion on a leased lot. With the drought, however, everything died and they started picking up food on trash cans. And why have they walked? They tried to hitchhike, dos Santos explained, but twice only were they lucky to get a ride for a small stretch of their trek.

In some roads women with four, five, six barefooted, dirty and malnourished children spend hours under the inclement sun begging for any kind of help from the drivers passing by. At BR-202 for example these mothers are spread over miles, each one separated from the other by some 200 feet. Many of them are the so called viúvas da seca, drought widows, women who were left by their husbands who went in search of a job far away. As it happened in droughts past, scores will never come back.

Nobody expects the repetition of the 1877-1879 holocaust when it is estimated that more than half a million Nordestinos died in consequence of the drought. The situation is grave enough, however, to generate deep concern. In the previous dry spell in 1993, 11.7 million people were affected and two million of them had to be drafted into one of the various emergency labor fronts financed by the federal government. While in the Nazi concentration camps prisoners consumed 900 calories a day these people are not getting more than 500 calories.

A Call
For Action

Stills and films of squalid people picking up cacti and rodents to eat and dirty little children waiting for a government handout have moved some Brazilians to action. They have been collecting food to send to the area. The Nordestino plight has provoked more than just outrage at what has not been done to avoid a repeated catastrophe in the backlands. There was also an outpouring of solidarity gestures including one from prisoners from Papuda, a jail in Brasília, Brazil capital. The inmates skipped their meals so the food could be sent to the victims of the drought. There were also scores of donations from residents of favelas (shantytowns) in Rio and São Paulo.

In the short period between May 8 and 13, FAB (Força Aérea Brasileira—Brazilian Air Force) planes were loaded with 106 tons of food that were collected in spontaneous drives that sprung in São Paulo, Rio, Brasília, and Minas Gerais. Another 247 tons were waiting on warehouses, ready to be flown to the afflicted regions. Lélio Calheiros, general coordinator for the Civil Defense by mid-May had a tall order to fill: finding a ship that would carry 250 tons of frozen fish, a donation from the state of Amazonas. All this generosity got a cold shower from the authorities, however, when they concluded that the cost of shipping this food was bigger than the goods themselves.

Some had a more radical approach in their response to the problem. The MST (Movimento dos Sem Terra—Landless Movement), for example, which has made a name for itself invading vacant farms and claiming rights to the land as a way to force the government to enact land reform, after helping stage some looting of supermarkets and food trucks in the Northeast, took its guerrilla tactics to the big cities, planting themselves in front of supermarkets while threatening to invade them.

In the state of Ceará, Baturité's city hall was invaded by 1,000 people on May 18. The protesters wielding scythes and machetes demanded the immediate creation of 3,000 vacancies in the labor fronts in the area. Threatened by generalized looting, Mayor Fernando Lopes and business owners put their money together and bought food that was distributed to protesters. They took the food, but kept the occupation of city hall. In Canindé, also in Ceará, the crowd occupied city hall for seven days until they were able to sign up for a job.

On the same May 18, another crowd of 1,500 or so peasants and small farmers near the city of Tabuleiro do Norte blocked highway BR-116, the main road linking Ceará and the Northeast to the South of the country. Starting at 5 in the morning, the protesters used tractors and a human barrier to completely interrupt the traffic provoking a 2-mile jam. On May 4, about 1,000 residents from Tabuleiro do Norte had taken to the streets demanding jobs and food. That demonstration was followed the next day by the looting of the school lunch program warehouse. By then Ceará had already seen 41 acts of looting plus 68 street manifestations, according to Fetraece (Federação dos Trabalhadores da Agricultura no Ceará—Ceará's Federation of Agriculture Workers), the organization behind many of these actions.

In response, Ceará's government announced that it is investing more than $60 million in a project to combat drought that at the same time will create 65,000 jobs. In the state of Pernambuco, a man trying to stop a truck on the road linking Cabrobó to Orocó, was killed when the truckdriver refused to stop.

A Federal Police report showed that until May 7 there had been registered 43 looting episodes in the states of Ceará, Paraíba, Pernambuco, Piauí, Rio Grande do Norte and Sergipe. The document talked about the participation of the Catholic Church CPT (Comissão Pastoral da Terra—Land Pastoral Committee), CUT (Central Única dos Trabalhadores—Workers Unified Central) and the MST, and seemed concerned that the movement might spread to urban centers.

MST's regional coordinator in the state of Pernambuco, Jaime Amorim, in a challenge to the federal action, promised that the movement would not change its course of action despite the repression and intimidation by police. "As long as there is a municipality not receiving food, the MST will be backing, helping, and organizing workers to occupy city hall, block roads and loot," said Amorim. He also explained that the MST did not invent looting, which according to him, has always occurred in the area when there is extreme hunger.

The Army was present when the federal government started distributing food and medicine on May 31. The first place to receive aid was Lagoa Grande, in the interior of Pernambuco state. This is a town where the MST has been very active leading the attack to several food trucks on highway BR-428. MST leaders followed at a distance a truck with food baskets escorted by 50 Army soldiers.

This was a rehearsal for the full-blown food distribution that started on June 1, when the Army used the 700 soldiers of its 72nd Battalion to accompany 37 trucks loaded with 900 tons of food to be distributed in 50 municipalities of Pernambuco, Ceará and Paraíba.

Politicians'
Full Plate

Taking the moral high ground, opposition presidential candidate Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva lambasted the government for coming too late in assistance of the drought victims. "The government could not have been caught by surprise in a question like the drought, which has occurred 19 times during this century alone," said the former labor leader.

He criticized Cardoso for condemning the looting, adding some decibels to the political controversy stridency by declaring at Ceará's Assembléia Legislativa: "The President has no moral authority to criticize anyone in this story because he is a professional looter. He looted the municipalities and the Kandir law—Antônio Kandir is the former planning minister who eliminated taxes on primary products for export—loots the states."

Talking in Fortaleza to small farmers, Lula justified the looting for food as an act of human rights defense. Said he: "To fight for the food that maintains a person alive is a question of human rights. It is a question of disrespect to human rights when someone goes hungry."

Lula also credited the MST with avoiding a civil war, by liberating some of the steam through looting and protests. During a meeting with São Paulo's businessmen, the PT (Partido dos Trabalhadores—Workers Party) leader made a passionate defense of the MST: "It is the MST that gives dignity to a parcel of the population that was becoming a pariah in our society."

Rebuffing accusations that he only criticizes without presenting viable solutions, the presidential candidate for the PT presented a five point project to help the drought victims:

1. To start paying retirement pensions to those already entitled to the benefit.
2. To extend the unemployment insurance to the rural worker.
3. To give emergency health assistance.
4. Use the money from the Northeast Fund to fight the drought.
5. To utilize subsidies of the electrical sector to irrigate the area.

Looting
In Question

A victim of the drought when he was a child, Don Francisco Austregésilo de Mesquita Filho, 74, bishop of Afogados da Ingazeira, a town with 28,000 residents in Pernambuco state, got front stage and the front pages during the recent 36th General Assembly of CNBB (Conferência Nacional dos Bispos do Brasil—Brazilian Bishops National Conference) when he defended assaults against supermarkets and government warehouses by hungry crowds.

"Looting, in cases of extreme necessity, according to the law, is no crime," he declared. He accused politicians of not solving the problem because "with people starving it is easier to buy votes."

Don Francisco, who has been working for 37 years in Afogados, says that many politicians in the Northeast use the drought to maintain themselves in power. "Everybody knew that this drought was coming, but no governor, mayor or deputy has done a thing." He says that authorities are just waiting for the coming elections: "In October the price of a vote will be lower because the people afflicted by the drought will do anything not to starve."

The prelate was born in Reriutaba, state of Ceará, and says that he knows what a drought is since he was eight. He recalls being taken with his family and neighbors to areas fenced with barbed wire where they were fed twice a day. "It was like in the concentration camps," he observes. "The concentration camps ended, but the situation of those drought-stricken people continues to be dramatic. People in my city are eating even cactus leaves to keep from starving."

After an initial phase of irritation and confrontation, the government opted to ask the Catholic clergy for assistance in dealing with looting. In two months there were at least 80 episodes of looting food warehouses, supermarkets and trucks. The CNBB says that it is in favor of looting when it involves cases of extreme hunger. But while leaders of the MST were reluctant to meet with government representatives to try to find a solution for the hunger problem, the Church has accepted to dialogue with the authorities, through Don Austregésilo de Mesquita, bishop from Afogados da Ingazeira, in the state of Pernambuco.

Even among authorities there is no consensus on how to treat looters. Pernambuco governor, Miguel Arraes from PSB (Partido Socialista Brasileiro—Brazilian Socialist Party) is against using the police to prevent looting, arguing that this is a social and not a police problem. He ordered his state police to work as mediator and not in a repressive way. "The police," he said, "must anticipate themselves in order to mediate the situation, getting in touch with city hall, the church, the commerce, and associations, so that with the government's help they can assist the drought-stricken population through the distribution of food."

For Cardoso, a sociologist turned politician— he has been accused by many people who voted for him of having forgotten his social commitments as a leftist intellectual—finding a balance has revealed close to impossible. If he maintains himself at a distance from the northeastern misery he is called uncaring and callous. If he travels to the area to meet people and watch the situation in loco he is presented as a demagogue and opportunist. Cardoso, who has been an atheist most of his life, was also much criticized for declaring: "The drought problem depends on God, on the time, on the rain."

Justice Minister, Renan Calheiros, says that he fears that the looting would create a climate of anarchy. "These are not looting actions by the hungry anymore," he said, "but something organized with ample covering by the media." Calheiros sent a letter to all northeastern governors asking their commitment to prosecute those who incited looting.

At beginning of June only Bahia and Pernambuco had people in jail for having participated in looting. In Juazeiro, state of Bahia, there were six MST members detained accused of leading the attack to a government food warehouse. In Pernambuco there was a teacher indicted for inciting people to invade a food store in the town of Ouricuri.

Blaming milk producers for speculative prices, the government decided not to include powdered milk in the food baskets. In order to assist more people the package was reduced from 42 lb. to 22 lb. The cesta básica being distributed contains 11 lb. of rice, 11 lb. of corn flakes, 7 lb. of pasta, 11 lb. of beans, and 2 lb. of manioc flower. Only the bare essential. No meat, no sweet. But Sudene promised to regularize the situation soon by acquiring $15 million in food.

The looting may have delayed the distribution of food, since authorities were afraid to take the food out of the warehouses and have trucks be ransacked. On the other hand, some of the towns that received prompt assistance were guaranteed special treatment due to the threat of looting in the area. That's what happened for example in Serra da Telhada with a volatile situation involving 20,000 peasants in a state of extreme misery.

The
Government
Stand

Chief of the military staff, General Alberto Cardoso—no relation to the President—, says that the government is ready to act in order to avoid any semblance of anarchy. "We will never allow the installation of a state of anarchy in the country," he declared. "And we are mobilized in a way that we don't have even a sensation that we live in anarchy with looting being shown on TV at all times. This sensation of anarchy is not good for the people, for those afflicted by the drought, for the movements or for the democracy. We condemn those who profit from the situation and bring people who are not hungry to loot."

In his weekly radio program, President Fernando Henrique Cardoso asked those hit by the drought not to allow themselves to be used by unscrupulous politicians. He gave listeners a 800 number—(800) 61-1995— to call the new service disque-cesta in case they knew improper use of the food. Said the President: "Whoever has already suffered of hunger in the past knows that who was hungry not always received food. This is something that Brazil cannot accept anymore. We cannot accept that even one family goes hungry in our country."

Talking to reporters, the President added: "This is immoral. They are using poverty and hunger to disorganize what needs to be done to solve the situation." Cardoso also threatened to take legal action against union leaders, the Landless Movement, and members of the clergy, who have defended looting by hungry peasants and small farmers. And the President announced that Sudene had already certified 1,209 municipalities as being in critical situation.

During a press conference in the Alvorada Palace's gardens, in Brasília, at the end of May—the first tête-à-tête with the press in Brazil in seven months—the President responded to those who accuse his administration of doing very little to end the drought drama. And used the occasion to announce a package of measures starting with the June 1 release of $650 million for what he called "productive fronts", an activity better known as labor or emergency fronts.

The intention, announced the President is to assist as many as one million people with literacy programs, agriculture training and work, and food baskets. Said Cardoso: "Nobody is going to die of hunger." And added: "The northeastern people want respect. They accept food because they need it, but what they want is work. "

Cardoso classified the widespread looting as anarchy and an assault against the interest of the population. "This is against the democracy," he said. "This is against the law. We fought a lot to have a democratic regime. I don't want to see Brazil again in a regime in which the President has to order people in jail, has to send the army. I am not going to do this. I don't want this to happen. (...) I don't want to imagine what is going to happen from now on and also I am not saying the looting occurred just because there was some political intention. It occurred because there were difficulties, because there was somebody without food. This is an objective data. It not my style denying reality. We don't discuss if a hungry person has the right to loot. The problem are those who are not hungry and are looting. If this happens it has to be punished."

The administration has some ideas of what it wants the "productive fronts" to be. One plan is to make them into a tool to improve the quality of living in the area and possibly create a permanent job for the participant. Among the trades to be taught there will be carpentry, cosmetics, and the travel business. Those involved in these groups will be encouraged to organize themselves into co-ops once the emergency program ends.

For 27 hours of weekly dedication, people will get around $17 a week or a little over $70 a month. The federal government is covering 82% of this amount, being the rest left to the states. There will be "ecological fronts" to work in the recuperation of the soil and the cleaning up of water sources, "cultural fronts" for the artistic inclined, who will learn how to make hammocks and crafts with argyle and leather.

The
Government
Absence

Can Cardoso be trusted? Mãos à Obra (Getting to Work), the book containing Cardoso's platform when a presidential candidate, establishes the irrigation of small and medium properties in the Northeast as a priority of his administration. Cardoso's goal, according to the publication, was to extend irrigation to 1.5 million hectares. With less than seven months left on his four-year mandate, the President was able to implement his irrigation program in less than 300,000 hectares, or a mere 20% of what was promised. Why the huge disparity between promise and reality? They are due to a crisis in agriculture and lack of funds, the administration responds.

As a counterpoint for the government's poor performance, the Environmental Ministry's secretary of Water Resources, Fernando Rodrigues, notes that from 1974 to 1994, the irrigation effort was smaller than during Cardoso's tenure. Ambassador Sérgio Amaral, the President's spokesman, responding to opposition candidate Lula, who accused Cardoso of being a "demagogue" and a "liar" for not having followed through on his promise of diverting the waters of the San Francisco river to irrigate the arid areas of the Northeast, said: "The project is progressing and the bidding for the necessary studies have been opened. This is a complex situation, however, and it needs a careful evaluation of the environmental implications."

The present administration has been accused of delaying for months the release of funds to fight the drought so it could pressure congressmen to vote with the government in some controversial measures like the reform of the social security system.

More than $130 million that were available since January only started to be passed to the states and municipalities at the end of April. This amount had been approved in December by Congress in order to combat the anticipated effects of El Niño in the region. Most of this money though is being used now to pay for pet infra-structure projects of legislators who are friendly with the administration.

Bahia's Geddel Vieira Lima, who is leader of the PMDB (Partido do Movimento Democrático Brasileiro—Party of the Brazilian Democratic Movement) in the lower house was complaining about the delay. He was promised $1.4 million for his electoral bases, but by the first week of May hadn't been given the money yet. "If the government had given the money in January much of the work to fight the drought would have already been done," he commented. Vieira Lima admitted that in the balance are the 10,000 votes he expects to get in the area.

In January, Ricardo Barbosa, then secretary of Social Communication for the Secretariat of Regional Policies was very candid and clear on how the administration works, when he commented about the priority given to projects of the government's allies: "This is kind of obvious. You wouldn't expect us to liberate money to our foes."

The northeastern governors who in May got together in Recife, capital of Pernambuco state, for the ceremony of taking office of the new Sudene's superintendent, Sérgio Moreira, seemed to agree in one thing: the secular federal-funded emergency labor fronts are a necessity and should be implemented immediately. Expressing the concern of his colleagues, Ceará's governor, Tasso Jereissati, from the PSDB (Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira—Party of the Brazilian Social Democracy), Cardoso's party, declared: "We cannot wait any longer." "The big problem is the lack of work for the rural workers," echoed Sergipe's governor, Albano Franco, also from the PSDB.

In his first speech in the new post, Moreira guaranteed that all the regions in need would have enough federal resources for the labor fronts as well as for the cestas básicas. Sudene plans to enlist as many as one million people from the 1209 municipalities in state of emergency to work in the labor fronts.

The decision of Cardoso to visit Ipirá in the state of Bahia—a town with plenty of water and green—didn't spare him from the uglier side of the drought. Unemployment is rampant. Every week some 500 people leave the are in search of greener pastures mostly in the interior of São Paulo, Mato Grosso, and Minas Gerais states. Distant 160 miles from Salvador, the capital, Ipirá, which was Bahia's third best producer of milk and was ranked fourth in grain production, today barely can supply these goods to its own population. Beans and corn, which were exported to other states, now have to be bought elsewhere and milk production since the start of the drought has fallen from 34,000 gallons a day to 5,200.

To cope with the lack of rain people have some traditions, which may not help, but that are religiously kept anyway. One of the more ingrained of these costumes is to "steal" the image of Saint Joseph from a neighbor as soon as the dry spell starts and to only return it when the rain comes back.

Things should get much worse before it starts getting better according to the INPE (Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais—National Institute of Space Research). With the help of satellite data, the INPE forecasts that the drought will last at least until July with rain precipitation from 20% to 80% below average for this time of the year. INPE's CPTEC (Centro de Previsão do Tempo e Estudos Climáticos—Weather Forescast and Climatic Studies Center) has already concluded that the present drought is already one of the three worst to hit the North and the Northeast of Brazil in the last 30 years.

In the past—and this year was no exception—the drought has brought hordes of hungry flagelados (scourged ones) also known as retirantes (the retreating ones) to urban slums mainly in Rio and São Paulo. Recent figures show that 5,000 Nordestinos are arriving daily at the São Paulo's bus terminal. The city's mayor, Celso Pitta has accused his colleagues from small towns hit by the dry spell to give one-way tickets to their residents so that they can reach São Paulo.

What
to Do?

In most analyses of the northeastern cyclic drought crises nature is presented as the villain. According to this point of view, if the problem is water, the construction of big dams and the implementation of irrigation programs are the solution. And much has been done in this area, but most of this work of the so-called hydraulic policy ended up benefiting only the big cattle ranchers of the area.

For USP's (Universidade de São Paulo) geographer and professor, Azi Ab'Saber, an expert in semi-arid regions, the Northeast problem is mainly demographic. He notes that no other semi-arid area in the world has the same high demographic density as the Brazilian Northeast. The solution in this case would be to promote emigration from Nordestinos to other areas of the country.

Economist Celso Furtado, who was Sudene's first superintendent, has a similar approach in which he notes how for many decades the area kept an explosive demographic growth. According to him, the hydraulic policy was a creation of the local elites to help their own agribusinesses and prevent their cattle from dying during the worst droughts.

According to Haroldo Vasconcelos, president of the National Forum of Agriculture Secretaries and Agriculture secretary of Piauí state, a little investment might recuperate the more than 20,000 wells that were dug throughout the Northeast region and then abandoned. Vasconcelos calculates that for $400 or less per well would be enough to put them back to good use.

They are few success stories though in the long fight against the drought in the Northeast. California Project in Canindé do São Francisco, in the state of Sergipe, is one of them. While there is desolation all around, the 1356-hectare California project has become a prosperous oasis where everything seems to grow. Among the cultures being developed there are coconut, corn, tomato, banana, and all kinds of vegetables.

The area is irrigated with water from the São Francisco river, which runs through the city. The water is pumped from the river, taken to the California project through a stone-lined channel and then distributed to the 333 properties in the project through 15 miles of smaller cement channels.

Sergipe has other projects like the ones in Jacarecica and Ribeira where the water comes from dams. There is a total of six of them. Together they produce more than half of all the vegetable consumed in the state.

The communities have created a rural middle-class in Sergipe. All the families inside the projects have their own houses and 70% of them also own some kind of vehicle.

Drought, drought, go away For centuries Brazil has lived with the Northeast's drought. Even camels have been used in a not-too-serious fight against the scourge. The debate over ways to solve the northeast region drought problem is an old one. In 1855, for example, Marcos Antônio de Macedo, deputy from then Pará province, wrote a report rebuffing those who called as unworkable a project to divert the waters of the São Francisco river in order to irrigate the semi-desert areas. Pressed by one of the many severe droughts in the region, emperor Don Pedro II in 1859 appealed to poet Gonçalves Dias and baron of Capanema to find a solution for the chronic problem. The poet and the noble came out with a simple and practical idea: to import camels. In years of drought the northeastern region could not transport its goods and commerce had to stop since the donkeys and oxen that carried them were one of the first to die. The camels were bought in Algiers and 14 of them arrived on July of 1859 in the port of Fortaleza, Ceará, with four Algerian trainers. As reported in Renato Braga's book História da Comissão Científica de Exploração (History of the Exploration Scientific Committee) the desert animals had a cool reception and the "moor" that accompanied them were seen with distrust for being "forceful enemies of the Christian faith". The camels didn't resist the bad vibes and the northeastern weather. The federal government has been incapable of establishing a policy to solve the northeastern drought problem. In the last 20 years alone there were at least eight different projects that were started and then abandoned. They had names like Polonordeste, Projeto Sertanejo, Programa São Vicente, Projeto Padre Cícero, Finor Irrigação, and Papp (Programa de Apoio ao Pequeno Produtor Rural—Program of Assistance to the Small Rural Producer). Finor Irrigação, for example, an ambitious project that envisioned the irrigation of 1 million hectares for the cultivation of grains, fruits and tubers, has never left the drawing board. Simply they could not find money to fund the project. In an article for Rio's Gazeta de Notícias in August of 1878, when Brazil was still an empire, writer José do Patrocínio, who had been sent to the Northeast to cover the deadliest drought ever in Brazilian history—500,000 people died—commented: "The tragedy of the national shame presented in Ceará has for stage all the vast territory of this unfortunate province. (...) Expelled from their home by the whip made by nature with the sun rays, the fate of the hapless is the peregrination about the country until they find a town in which they keep on miserably postponing their vanishment into a tomb." One hundred and twenty years later the shame, the tragedy, and the same location endure. It is believed that half of the population of Ceará died of hunger in 1878. The tragedy has not repeated itself in the same scale, but the more and less severe droughts have been a cyclical phenomenon in the area. The ones from 1915, 1919, and 1932 were devastating too. Even though the Northeast agricultural potential, in special for fruit trees, was discovered, tested, and approved in the mid sixties, it never led to an ample and long-term project. As one of the best-known experts on drought in Brazil, José Otamar de Carvalho, author of the often cited A Economia Política do Nordeste (The Northeast's Political Economy) noted: "The actions of development promoted under the sponsorship of the State have been conceived and executed with a duration determined, in great measure, by the need to mitigate the drought's effects." Experts see two mains reasons for the chronic postponement of a solution for the northeastern drought: resistance by the big farmers, who are opposed to change their traditional way of raising cattle and cultivating cotton, and the fact that the political power has shifted in this century from the north to the south of the country. The labor fronts were created during the four-year drought that started in 1979 and affected 20 million people and 84% of the Northeast. The fronts initially were used in private property with loans subsidized by the government. Criticism on this arrangement changed the practice into emergency fronts in which the workers were used to toil in government projects. Paulo Pereira da Silva, 42, president of São Paulo's Metalworkers Union, after a recent visit to the Northeast wrote in the daily newspaper Folha de São Paulo: "Since the past century, the drought and the development of the Northeast have been treated with plenty of demagoguery and little action. Don Pedro II promised, in tears, that he would sell to the last jewel of his crown to solve the drought problem, but the crown is in a museum nowadays, with all its jewels intact."

 

Old Plan, Old River California and Israel have been used as inspiration for several irrigation plans in the Northeast. Until now, however, no plan has gone beyond the drawing board. To use the waters of the São Francisco river to irrigate the Northeast was a pledge made by President Fernando Henrique Cardoso during the campaign. It is a mystery why nobody has done this yet since the work costs roughly the same as what the government spends in food and emergency work when there is a severe dry spell like now: $1.3 billion. The São Francisco plan is an old one. It is always remembered when the situation gets dry and tough on the backlands. Historians tell that Dom João VI, who in 1808 installed the Portuguese court in Rio after fleeing Napoleon's troupes, already thought about switching the São Francisco waters, an idea that was ahead of its times for technical reasons. Besides, the population in the area was sparse when compared to the south of the country. Backed by the study of engineer Tristão Franklin de Alencar Lima, who proposed a system very similar to what is being presented today, in 1847, Ceará's representatives Marco de Macedo and Domingos Jaguaribe suggested taking the waters from the São Francisco to the Jaguaribe river and from there to the dry riverbeds in the area. The idea didn't go ahead though. The work promised by Cardoso should be completed by now, but it was never started. The President wants four more years to start and finish the project. For that he would have to be reelected first, an accomplishment that according to the latest opinion polls is far from guaranteed. After years lost in some cabinet drawer, the São Francisco river plan has to be redrawn. The new study with the expected environmental impact of the project will cost at least a cool $15 million. The state of Bahia has always opposed the project arguing that the water detour would severely harm the state's economy by threatening four essential power plants in the region. To avoid a collapse, according to Coelba (Companhia de Eletricidade da Bahia—Bahia's Electricity Company), the government would have to build more power plants. When concluded the work would serve a population of six million people, more than 330,0000 hectares would be irrigated and 1,300 miles of dry riverbeds would be brought back to life. The costliest component of the plan are powerful pumps—at least 18 of them will be needed—that will take the river's water to the dry riverbeds in Pernambuco, Paraíba, Ceará, and Rio Grande do Norte. Each of these pumps can cost as much as $10 million. That would be something similar to the project that transformed semi-arid California into one of the world's greatest agricultural powers. While in California the yearly average rainfall is 220 mm, the Northeast fares almost three times better with 600 mm. The lack of water was solved in California thanks to the diverting of the San Joaquim and Sacramento rivers in the North and the Colorado river in the south. According to Antônio Evaldo Klar, professor at Botucatu's Faculdade de Agronomia, in the interior of São Paulo, the switch of the São Francisco waters is the only real solution for the Northeast. "Any other project will be only a palliative," he says. The federal government has spent at least $8.5 billion since 1988 to fight the northeastern drought. The Dnocs (Departamento Nacional de Obras Contra a Seca—National Department of Works Against the Drought) alone received $3.2 billion, but the money went also among others to Codevasf (Companhia de Desenvolvimento do Vale do São Francisco—Company of Development of the São Francisco Valley), and Prohidro, the Sudene's irrigation program. In 1972, another Ceará representative, Wilson Sá Roriz, suggested the construction of a 150 mile-long canal, but the project was considered Pharaonic even for the general who were in power at time and had tackled useless and lavish plans like the Transamazônica road. Another plan with an estimated cost of $1 billion was developed in 1981 by the Dnocs. In a surprising announcement, President Fernando Henrique Cardoso declared on June 3 that he will start very soon the preliminary work of diverting the São Francisco water using the Nordestinos who are being hired for the emergency labor fronts. He blamed the delay on the Union Audit Office, which was investigating how the studies on the environmental impact of the project were commissioned. The government says that the changes now are for real—you don't have to believe though—and that by 2006, seven million waterless Nordestinos will have plenty of the liquid, which will be brought by a series of dams and channels that are budgeted at $1.3 billion and will be financed by the World Bank and Japan's Overseas Economic Cooperation Fund.

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